Regression toward the mean continues

What's that?  A Pro Bowl quarterback won't be making sixteen starts?  And it might mean some tough times ahead for the erstwhile division leaders? 

It's the NFL.  Randomly unexpected things happen every week, so much so that we should not be surprised when they do.  (This is also what makes it such an excellent TV show.)

On said topic, I might also recommend Fooled By Randomness; mostly it explains that anyone who thinks they've got a secret to predicting things is probably extremely full of poop.