Depending upon the model you pick, the Eagles loss to Chicago wasn't the most surprising result of the NFC leader matchups. Before the game, Brian Burke's site suggested the Eagles had a win probability of 59 percent, significantly lower than Green Bay's 68 percent.
And yet both teams lost, proving that the stats are meaningless and the only thing that matters is what happens on the field there's no such thing as a sure thing.
If you've played much blackjack in your life, you know how the table ebbs and flows. Sometimes you can't buy a high card, other times it's a dealer bust factory with ample amounts of cheering and tipping.
(Always the best sign: "Boy, you're sure getting a lot of blackjacks," says the somewhat bitter dude waiting for a chair.)
The three games we won against Indy, Washington and New York felt like a heck of a run at the table. We had the nail-biter with multiple hits against Indy, the blackjack/bust against Washington and then the hand where we maybe should have lost but the dealer fumbled all her cards on the floor stumbling forward for a few extra yards. Or something.
Then we lost to Chicago. Maybe they actually are a better team. They sure looked like it on Sunday. Or maybe this was just one of those four in 10 games the models said they should win. Just like how every now and then the dealer lays down a five to go with her six when you're sitting on two face cards.
Since we can't play them 10 times to find out, we'll never know.
But it's still an Any Given Sunday league. Fans generally throw that idea out there when they want to convince themselves there's a chance to win a game they should probably lose. Too bad it works in reverse sometimes.